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One Silver Star
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quote:
Originally posted by Sir George:
Thanks for putting in my entries during my absence, but there seems to be a slight error in my score. I had 99.38 after week 30. In week 31 I lost £1, but won (I think) 47p and 22p in subsequent weeks. This should leave me on 99.07.


Sorry Sir George, my mistake, although there is an admin charge for including your bets!

Revised Table:

Inter Bhoy--------144.70
Liam--------------115.75
Saviola-----------115.75
Shevvy 7----------107.00
Sir George---------99.07
Sigga V17---------92.83
.Dave.-------------89.50
Lilli----------------88.35
Czech Calcio-------84.00
Del Ner------------79.30
Kthx---------------71.20
Giovanni-----------70.85
Spinoza------------67.70
Leadbelly----------53.70
Raj----------------46.50
Curva Fiesole------28.90
Markieboy----------27.18
Il Ferret-------------0.00
Michael La Viola-----0.00
Delpiero-------------0.00
Inter Numero Uno----0.00
Mezz----------------0.00
Micky---------------0.00
 
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Thanks for taking care of the marking Curva Wink ; things are starting to return to normality so i'll be happy to take over from here....


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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Fair enough - can't say I'm too disappointed!

Will you post this weeks odds?
 
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Ineedio


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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Inter Bhoy--------139.70
Liam--------------110.75
Saviola-----------110.75
Shevvy 7----------108.28
Sir George---------99.35
Sigga V17---------92.83
.Dave.-------------89.78
Lilli----------------88.35
Czech Calcio-------84.00
Del Ner------------79.30
Kthx---------------66.20
Spinoza------------62.70
Giovanni-----------60.85
Leadbelly----------53.70
Raj----------------40.50
Markieboy----------27.98
Curva Fiesole------18.90
Il Ferret-------------0.00
Michael La Viola-----0.00
Delpiero-------------0.00
Inter Numero Uno----0.00
Mezz----------------0.00
Micky---------------0.00


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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I can't find this week's odds. Am I just being dim?
 
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If they're not posted by tomorrow morning then I'll post them.
 
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The odds are sometimes delayed on the site we use due to Italian teams being in European competition i.e. Parma....


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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Forza Juve
 
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I can't find this week's betting thread and I'm off camping tomorrow. Please can omeone put a tenner on Parma winning at Juventus. Desperate times call for desperate measures!
 
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Table After Week 35

Inter Bhoy--------134.70
Lilli----------------126.35
Shevvy 7----------123.28
Saviola-----------105.75
Liam--------------102.75
Sir George---------94.35
Sigga V17---------87.83
.Dave.-------------84.78
Czech Calcio-------79.00
Del Ner------------74.30
Kthx---------------61.20
Spinoza------------57.70
Giovanni-----------50.85
Leadbelly----------43.70
Curva Fiesole------33.90
Raj----------------30.50
Markieboy----------17.98
Il Ferret-------------0.00
Michael La Viola-----0.00
Delpiero-------------0.00
Inter Numero Uno----0.00
Mezz----------------0.00
Micky---------------0.00
 
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Wink Thanks, Curva...


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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Well, I did win this week and didn't want the (rare) moment to go unrecognised!
 
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Week 36
----------------------

Inter Bhoy--------146.10
Lilli----------------127.63
Shevvy 7----------124.56
Saviola-----------100.75
Liam--------------92.75
Sir George---------84.35
Sigga V17---------82.83
.Dave.-------------79.78
Del Ner------------77.60
Czech Calcio-------74.00
Kthx---------------56.20
Spinoza------------47.70
Giovanni-----------40.85
Leadbelly----------33.70
Raj----------------24.50
Curva Fiesole------23.90
Markieboy----------16.98
Il Ferret-------------0.00
Michael La Viola-----0.00
Delpiero-------------0.00
Inter Numero Uno----0.00
Mezz----------------0.00
Micky---------------0.00


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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If I've got any money left I'd like to stake £10 on Livorno to win at Messina.
 
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Week 37 RESULTS
----------------------

Inter Bhoy--------142.10
Lilli----------------117.63
Del Ner------------116.10
Shevvy 7----------114.56
Saviola-----------95.75
Liam--------------82.75
Sigga V17---------77.83
.Dave.-------------74.78
Sir George---------74.35
Czech Calcio-------69.00
Kthx---------------53.20
Spinoza------------42.70
Giovanni-----------30.85
Markieboy----------24.23
Leadbelly----------23.70
Raj----------------16.50
Curva Fiesole------13.90
Il Ferret-------------0.00
Michael La Viola-----0.00
Delpiero-------------0.00
Inter Numero Uno----0.00
Mezz----------------0.00
Micky---------------0.00


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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Juventino /DP

Any idea of what the final classifica was?

Can anyone explain the madness of Sir George in the latter stages?
 
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I'll post the table ASAP ...


' Kuwabara, Kuwabara...'
 
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Congratulations Bhoyo! I assume you've won.

I'm obviously in no position to tell you how to maximise your chances of winning this game, but I'll do so anyway, since you ask.

The bookies margin for the prices quoted was 10% on every game. So the more you bet, the lower the "expected value" of your pot at the end of the season. You should lose £1 a week in fact. So to give yourself the best chance of winning you need to bet the lowest possible amount until the end of the season. Then towards the end of the season, you see how much you need to bet in order to win the game. With so many competitors, it's inevitable one or two will be in profit. I needed a 7/1 shot to come off, which obviously it didn't. But it's better than the 20 to 1 you theoretically start with (given 21ish competitors).

The alternative strategy of betting a tenner a go may leave you in the lead with 3 weeks to go, but you are far more likely to find yourself either near the bottom or without any money at all.

So the way to improve this game would be to post "fair" prices. I.e. Adding 10% to the winnings of each bet, but that's not going to happen as it's complicated enough as it is!

Good game though. Congratulations on winning and that fine mid-season punt!
 
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How would adding 10% change either the way people bet or the eventual outcome?
 
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