Originally posted by Kartikeya:
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Originally posted by fcxx:
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Originally posted by Kartikeya:
Graph of the MatchThis is a graph of the match, measuring runs and wickets.
It is quite representative.
England took early wickets in the first innings after which the Pakster middle order dominated. England batted competently in their first innings, staying with Pakistan, continuing to compete in the match, not conceding the first inning advantage. In the second innings, Pakistan briefly sought to dominate, trying to run up a lead and reached 163/3 because England came back with 6/106 to hold Pakistan. Early in the 4th innings, Pakistan were on top and had England reeling at 20/4, which explains the horizontal portion in the English line near the 120 mark, but Englad fought back well from there, pulling things back to 164/6 (134/2 from then on).
So its pretty representative.
What the graph reveals is that the Test Match finished with one side, probably Pakistan poised to make the kill. But that kill wasnt made yet. The last 2 hours of the game represented strong English recovery.
Karti bhai i greatly appreciate all the time that you spent trying to figure out the ranking system, those graphs surely look impressive but i must say that i don't agree with it at all! The reason is quite simple when play was stopped due to bad light ENG still needed 121 runs to win with only 4 wickets in hand yet your rating suggest that ENG got more points than PAK!
Yeh..... Pak still had to take 4 wickets to win.
If we go back to when England were 20/4 (if the match had ended there), then the rating would have been England 0.485, Pakistan 0.515
The point is this...... what this method does is calculates what actually happened, rather than calculating what might have happened.
Pakistan needed 4 out of 10 wickets to win, but hadnt actually gotten them. Indeed, for their last 2 wickets, they had labored over 144 english runs.
As the graph shows, Pakistan were running away with it at 20/4 in the 4th innings, but they didnt.
So its fair. It just so happens that it ends up at 164/6.
If it had ended at say 164/8, then it would have ended 0.515 - 0.484 in favor of Pakistan.
If it had ended with 164 all out, then
It would have ended 0.685 - 0.314 in favor of Pakistan (adding the Win Bonus, which is the average points secured per team in the match)
So the rating cannot take into account what could have happened, it does take into account what did happen.
